Indonesia: Investing in Indonesia
Global foreign direct investment (FDI) flows in 2021 were USD 1.58 trillion, up 64 per cent from the exceptionally low level in 2020. The recovery showed significant rebound momentum, with booming merger and acquisition (M&A) markets and rapid growth in international project finance because of loose financing conditions and major infrastructure stimulus packages. However, the global environment for international business and cross-border investment changed dramatically in 2022. The war in Ukraine – on top of the lingering effects of the pandemic – is causing a triple food, fuel and finance crisis in many countries around the world. Investor uncertainty could put significant downward pressure on global FDI in 2022. The 2021 growth momentum is unlikely to be sustained. Indeed, world flows in the second quarter of 2022, the latest data available, were down 31% from the first quarter and 7% less than the quarterly average of 2021 (UNCTAD Global Investment Trends Monitor, October 2022). The negative trend reflects a shift in investor sentiment due to the food, fuel and finance crises around the world, the Ukraine war, rising inflation and interest rates, and fears of a coming recession. Expectations for the full year are for a marked slowdown. In developing Asia, despite successive waves of COVID-19, FDI rose to an all-time high for the third consecutive year, reaching $619 billion. Asia is the largest recipient region, accounting for 40 per cent of global FDI. However, inflows remain highly concentrated; six economies account for more than 80 per cent of FDI to the region (UNCTAD, October 2022).
According to UNCTAD's World Investment Report 2022, FDI investment in Indonesia declined by 22% between 2019 and 2029, recording USD 18.59 billion, because of a 58% drop in investment in the manufacturing industry as a result of the economic crisis triggered by the Covid-19 pandemic. Moreover, two key sources of FDI fell: inward investment from Japan dropped by 75% to USD 2.1 billion and investment from Singapore by almost 30% to USD 4.6 billion. It reached USD 20.08 billion in 2021. The FDI stock reached USD 240.56 billion in 2020 and 259.26 billion in 2021. Prior to the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic, FDI flows to Indonesia had grown and their base had expanded due to resilient economic growth, low public debt and prudent fiscal management. FDI growth was attributed to a series of economic policy packages that had been implemented by the Indonesian government over the last years, mainly focusing on deregulation, law enforcement and business certainty, interest rate tax cuts for exporters, energy tariffs cuts for labour-intensive industries, tax incentives for investment in special economic zones and lowered tax rates on property acquired by local real estate investment trusts. Moreover, Indonesia lowered the minimum equity requirement for foreign investors and abolished the approval requirement for several business transactions involving foreign investors. The policy of liberalisation has enabled Indonesia to rank 17th among the top 20 host economies. Japan remained the largest source of investment, followed by Singapore, the UK, Thailand and the USA. The stock of FDI is concentrated in the manufacturing, financial intermediation, trade and mining sectors.
Indonesia has been a big-ticket recipient of Chinese investment for some time. As a trillion-dollar economy in its own right, the country offers opportunities in various sectors and not just infrastructure builds. These include the digital economy, healthcare, and finance, among others.
The Indonesian government has managed to improve the overall economic climate by consolidating political and economic stability and through structural reforms that have removed some investment risks. However, several obstacles remain, such as the rising cost of credit, excessive and unpredictable regulation, the poor quality of infrastructure, the terrorism risk and a high level of corruption. A recent Constitutional Court decision granting more regulatory authority to regional governments could pose a challenge to ongoing investment climate improvements. In the long term, however, Indonesia's current economic situation may may provide the right time to invest in the country, especially in its financial instruments.
The latest United NationAsia-Pacific Trade and Investment Trends Report provides additional information on FDI in Indonesia and Asia-Pacific in 2022 and 2023.
Foreign Direct Investment | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
FDI Inward Flow (million USD) | 18,591 | 21,131 | 21,968 |
FDI Stock (million USD) | 240,564 | 259,697 | 262,920 |
Number of Greenfield Investments* | 64 | 73 | 96 |
Value of Greenfield Investments (million USD) | 20,300 | 8,248 | 15,016 |
Source: UNCTAD, Latest available data
Note: * Greenfield Investments are a form of Foreign Direct Investment where a parent company starts a new venture in a foreign country by constructing new operational facilities from the ground up.
Country Comparison For the Protection of Investors | Indonesia | East Asia & Pacific | United States | Germany |
Index of Transaction Transparency* | 10.0 | 5.9 | 7.0 | 5.0 |
Index of Manager’s Responsibility** | 5.0 | 5.2 | 9.0 | 5.0 |
Index of Shareholders’ Power*** | 2.0 | 6.7 | 9.0 | 5.0 |
Source: Doing Business, Latest available data
Note: *The Greater the Index, the More Transparent the Conditions of Transactions. **The Greater the Index, the More the Manager is Personally Responsible. *** The Greater the Index, the Easier it Will Be For Shareholders to Take Legal Action.
Advantages for FDI in Indonesia:
Disadvantages for FDI in Indonesia:
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Latest Update: November 2023